It’s a sure thing, it can’t miss! We’ve all heard it before. We’ve also heard “but no one could have predicted…” and “the odds were a thousand to one that…” afterwards. Words spoken by smart people who were making good decisions based on odds that were strongly in their favor. With that in mind, let’s take closer look at Risk vs Reward.

The financial news channels have had the Commercial Real Estate doom & gloom story on the back burner for a couple of weeks now. Soon they’ll be zipping around like Robot on Lost in Space, flailing their arms and shouting “Danger! Danger!”

As I write this, a 1-year T-Bill is at 4.55%, the 10-year is at 4.10%; and a 5-year Treasury Note, a common mortgage loan index, stands at 4.25%. How is that good for commercial real estate? Let’s explore:

A lot of people are talking about the “New Normal.” It’s kind of a linguistic coping mechanism we use to help come to grips with the fact that our world has abruptly changed, and we have to change with it. (Don’t you hate when that happens?!)